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They never changed the outcome of an election, so we don’t model them.) We simulated a Nov. 8 election 10 million times using our state-by-state averages. In 9.8 million simulations, Hillary Clinton ended up with at least 270 electoral votes. Therefore, we say Clinton has a 98.0 percent chance of becoming president. Frequency of electoral.
12%. I watched clips or highlights of the debate. 17%. I read or watched news stories analyzing the debate. 25%. I haven’t heard anything about it. 37%. The prime time debate featured Donald Trump, Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Mike Huckabee, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, Chris Christie, Carly Fiorina and John Kasich.
It is informed by turnout in recent elections, details on votes cast in advance and – after polls close – early returns. The estimate may fluctuate as election officials report additional results and AP learns more about how many voters have cast a ballot.
Donald Trump: 40.7%: ... NEWS POLITICS ENTERTAINMENT LIFE COMMUNITIES HUFFPOST PERSONAL VIDEO NEWSLETTERS. ... Part of HuffPost News. ©2021 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights ...
Trump won Michigan 11:55 AM Pacific Daylight Time; Clinton won New Hampshire 2:04 PM Pacific Daylight Time; Trump won Arizona 4:37 PM Pacific Daylight Time; Trump led Arizona after 100% of votes were counted 1:33 PM Pacific Daylight Time; Trump led Michigan after 100% of votes were counted 9:08 AM Pacific Daylight Time; Trump won Alaska 8:59 AM ...
The 2016 Senate consists of 54 Republicans and 46 Democrats. (The two independent senators caucus with Democrats.) Voters usually re-elect their incumbent senators, but some seats could flip to the other party. If four Republican Senate seats flip to Democrats and there are no other changes, the 2017 Senate will be split 50-50.
Sources: The Associated Press, HuffPost Pollster By Adam Hooper, Hilary Fung, Shane Shifflett, Nicky Forster and Alissa Scheller Page published Tuesday, Jan. 26, 6:30 PM EST, last updated Monday, Mar. 14, 2:49 PM EDT
The HuffPost/YouGov poll is a collaborative effort of the Huffington Post and YouGov, who share responsibility for survey content and the costs of data collection. Each survey consists of approximately 1,000 completed interviews among U.S. adults using a sample selected from YouGov’s opt-in online panel of all 50 states plus the District of ...