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Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [ 2 ] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin. [ 3 ][ 4 ][ 5 ] 538's new owner Disney hired ...
G. ELLIOTT MORRIS. August 2, 2024 at 7:28 AM. Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages. Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup ...
In not-breaking news, the 2024 race for the White House appears very close.Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages ...
Anytime you see a poll out in the wild, we recommend following these 10 steps to help put it into context and understand what it means for the election.*. 1. Check who conducted the poll. Some ...
Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [2]
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [edit] Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.
Harris has a 2.8-point lead over Trump in the latest average of national polls, collated by FiveThirtyEight. On average, Harris has been marginally ahead of Trump in national polls. Yet, a new ...
This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States ... 538: through September 25, 2024 September 29, 2024 46.9% 47.9%: