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In the chart, we see the global population growth rate per year. This is based on historical UN estimates and its medium projection to 2100. Global population growth peaked in the 1960s at over 2% per year.
Population by country, available from 10,000 BCE to 2023, based on data and estimates from different sources. Source. HYDE (2023); Gapminder (2022); UN WPP (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data. Last updated.
The chart shows that global population growth peaked in 1962 and 1963 with an annual growth rate of 2.2%; however, since then, world population growth has halved. 4 For the last half-century, the population growth rate has been declining.
Population growth is still fast: every year, 134 million are born, and 58 million die. 1 The difference is the number of people that we add to the world population in a year: 76 million. Where do we go from here?
World population growth Since 1700; World population, comparison of UN projections; World population, comparison of different historical sources
In the chart, I’ve shown a range of these historical revisions, with their projections for the world population between 1970 and 2020. The UN’s latest population estimates – which is our closest estimate of the true population – are also shown for comparison.
Population by country, available from 10,000 BCE to 2100, based on data and estimates from different sources. Source. HYDE (2023); Gapminder (2022); UN WPP (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data. Last updated.
The world population has increased rapidly over the last century. When will it come to an end? Previous versions of the UN World Population Prospects showed a significant slowdown in population growth, with very slow growth – almost reaching a plateau – by the end of the century.
Population is represented by maps of total, urban, rural population and population density as well as built-up area. The period covered is 10 000 BCE to 2023 CE. Spatial resolution is 5 arc minutes (approx. 85 km2 at the equator), the files are in ESRI ASCII grid format.
In its 2022 publication, the UN estimated that, in its medium scenario, the global population would peak in 2086 at around 10.4 billion people. This year’s edition brings this peak forward slightly to 2084, with the population topping at just under 10.3 billion. The chart below compares the two revisions.