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Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided ). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.
RealClearPolitics’ polling average, as of 6:00 a.m. ET on Aug. 19, shows Harris at 48.1%, with Trump at 46.7% percent—a +1.4 point margin in a head-to-head race. RCP also notes that on this ...
44%. Actual result. 60.80%. 36.54%. Difference between actual result and final poll. +4.80%. -7.46%. After predicting the winners of the previous five elections, The Literary Digest (based on cards mailed in by its readers) predicted that Alf Landon would win by a large margin. George Gallup predicted a Roosevelt win, based on statistical ...
After a ruling by the Colorado Supreme Court, Colorado became the first state to disqualify former President Donald Trump from its primary ballot under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment. Trump will remain on the ballot pending a U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Trump v. Anderson. McLaughlin & Associates [55] December 13–19, 2023 454 (LV) – 4% 11%
The mid 40s has, until now, been his ceiling; Trump won in 2016 with 46.1 percent of the vote and lost in 2020 with 46.8 percent of the vote. In nine of the 15 polls that make up the polling ...
All the latest news today on Donald Trump’s legal woes and 2024 campaign Trump news – live: Trump shows frustration in court as hush money criminal trial set amid 2024 primaries Skip to main ...
RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. Both major presidential campaigns in 2004 said that the RCP polling average was the best metric of the race. [ 44] In 2008, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight said that ...
Near the end of his impeachment trial and on the eve of his third State of the Union address, President Trump's job approval rating has risen to 49 percent in the latest Gallup poll — the ...