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This is an Associated Press estimate of how much of the vote in an election has been counted. It is informed by turnout in recent elections, details on votes cast in advance and – after polls close – early returns.
12%. I watched clips or highlights of the debate. 17%. I read or watched news stories analyzing the debate. 25%. I haven’t heard anything about it. 37%. The prime time debate featured Donald Trump, Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Mike Huckabee, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, Chris Christie, Carly Fiorina and John Kasich.
They never changed the outcome of an election, so we don’t model them.) We simulated a Nov. 8 election 10 million times using our state-by-state averages. In 9.8 million simulations, Hillary Clinton ended up with at least 270 electoral votes. Therefore, we say Clinton has a 98.0 percent chance of becoming president. Frequency of electoral.
Visualization, analysis, interactive maps and real-time graphics. Browse, copy and fork our open-source software. Remix thousands of aggregated polling results. Keep up with our latest on Twitter and Tumblr.
The Huffington Post was launched on May 9, 2005, as a commentary outlet, blog, and an alternative to news aggregators such as the Drudge Report. [20] [21] [4] It was founded by Arianna Huffington, Andrew Breitbart, Kenneth Lerer, and Jonah Peretti. [9]
D. x Wyoming. 3. R. R. R. Maps and electoral vote counts for the 2012 presidential election. Our latest estimate has Obama at 281 electoral votes and Romney at 191.
The implications of special elections for national politics vary greatly. There’s a reason why White House Chief Strategist Steve Bannon is keeping a close eye on the battle for Georgia’s 6th Congressional District, a heavily Republican area where Democrats are putting up a major fight , rather than on other down-ballot races.
But what always bothers me about this analysis is that it isn’t like the Democrats just lost the presidential election in 2016. They are essentially collapsing as a national political force. And the success of Obama and his unique political talent masked that.