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PIT wins the tiebreak over DEN on Head-to-Head. NYJ wins the tiebreak over MIA on Division Record (1-0 vs 1-1). NYJ wins the tiebreak over LV/IND on Conference Record (2-1 vs 2-2/1-2). IND drops out of the tiebreak with MIA/LV on Conference Record (1-2 vs 2-2).
Standard-Style Clinching Scenarios This is the standard style scenarios that just involve clinching a playoff berth/division without any concern for seed line. To see the correlated elimination scenarios, check out the elimination section under the seed-specific scenarios.
Standings entering week 12. TB wins the tiebreak over DAL on Head-to-Head. MIN wins the tiebreak over NO/SF on Conference Record (4-2 vs 4-4/4-4). NO wins the tiebreak over SF on Strength of Victory (29-23 vs 17-33-1). PHI wins the tiebreak over CAR on Head-to-Head. WAS wins the tiebreak over ATL on Head-to-Head.
Standings Entering Week 17. SF wins the tiebreak over PHI/DET on Conference Record (9-1 vs 7-3/7-3). PHI wins the tiebreak over DET on Strength of Victory (79-86 vs 72-93). LAR wins the tiebreak over SEA on Head-to-Head (2-0).
Standings Entering Week 14. SF wins the tiebreak over DET on Conference Record (7-1 vs 6-2). MIN wins the tiebreak over GB on Head-to-Head (1-0). LAR wins the tiebreak over SEA on Head-to-Head (2-0). MIN wins the tiebreak over LAR on Conference Record (6-3 vs 4-4). LAR wins the tiebreak over SEA on Head-to-Head (2-0).
Update 1 (Sat.Afternoon): Updated for KC/LV - KC is locked into the 1 seed. Update 2 (Sat.Night): Updated for JAX/TEN - JAX is locked into the 4 seed, JAX clinches a playoff berth, TEN is eliminated from playoff contention. Update 3 (03:46): Updated for CAR/NO.
TB wins the tiebreak over NO on Common Games (8-4 vs 6-6). NO drops out of the tiebreak with GB/SEA on Conference Record (6-6 vs 7-5). GB wins the tiebreak over SEA on Strength of Victory (70-83 vs 60-93). SEA wins the tiebreak over NO on Conference Record (7-5 vs 6-6).
Standings entering week 15. GB wins the tiebreak over TB/ARI on Conference Record (8-2 vs 6-3/6-3). TB wins the tiebreak over ARI on Strength of Victory (64-66 vs 58-72). WAS wins the tiebreak over PHI on Division Record (1-1 vs 0-2). ATL wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0).
Possible and Simulated Seeds Entering Week 16. We’re trying something new this year. Now that we have some teams knocked out of some seedlines, rather than just list the possible seeds, we’re going to approximate the percentage of possible outcomes than result in each seed’s outcomes.
This post is here to show at least one way for each team to make the playoffs. Note that the scenarios listed here are not exhaustive - there may be other ways for these teams to reach the playoffs. The scenarios listed here are the least complex ways (or at least a subset thereof).