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Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [ 2]
Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [ 2 ] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin. [ 3 ][ 4 ][ 5 ] 538's new owner Disney hired ...
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided ). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.
The Keys to the White House. The Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction ...
G. Elliott Morris. George Elliott Morris (born 1996) [ 1][ 2] is an American data journalist who is best known for his work on election polling and predictive analytics. From 2018 to 2023, Morris was a data journalist for The Economist. In 2023, he became the editorial director of data analytics at ABC News including FiveThirtyEight .
Senior political writer and analyst for FiveThirtyEight. Senior writer and analyst for CNN Politics. Relatives. Neil Sedaka (uncle) Harry Joe Enten (born March 1, 1988) [ 1][ 2] is an American journalist known for his former role as a senior political writer and analyst for the website FiveThirtyEight [ 3] and his current job as a senior writer ...
The concept of a " tipping-point state " is used in some analyses of United States presidential elections. In a list of states ordered by decreasing margin of victory for the winning candidate, the tipping point state is the first state where the combined electoral votes of all states up to that point in the list give the winning candidate a ...
Julia R. Azari is an American political scientist. She is a professor of political science at Marquette University, where she is also the assistant chair of the Department of Political Science. Azari studies the American presidency and political parties in the United States, with particular attention to partisanship in the United States and how ...