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12%. I watched clips or highlights of the debate. 17%. I read or watched news stories analyzing the debate. 25%. I haven’t heard anything about it. 37%. The prime time debate featured Donald Trump, Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Mike Huckabee, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, Chris Christie, Carly Fiorina and John Kasich.
This is an Associated Press estimate of how much of the vote in an election has been counted. It is informed by turnout in recent elections, details on votes cast in advance and – after polls close – early returns.
But what always bothers me about this analysis is that it isn’t like the Democrats just lost the presidential election in 2016. They are essentially collapsing as a national political force. And the success of Obama and his unique political talent masked that.
Story by Jonathan Cohn. Back in the comparatively innocent days of 2015, before Donald Trump completed his hostile takeover of the Republican Party, before the Bernie Sanders juggernaut really got going, Hillary Clinton’s campaign thought it could get ahead through well-crafted policy proposals.
Visualization, analysis, interactive maps and real-time graphics. Browse, copy and fork our open-source software. Remix thousands of aggregated polling results. Keep up with our latest on Twitter and Tumblr.
The HuffPost/YouGov poll is a collaborative effort of the Huffington Post and YouGov, who share responsibility for survey content and the costs of data collection. Each survey consists of approximately 1,000 completed interviews among U.S. adults using a sample selected from YouGov’s opt-in online panel of all 50 states plus the District of ...
The reason was that most Americans were living better than they ever had before. The first three postwar decades were truly the golden age of working- and middle-class life in this country. In 1963, the average assembly-line worker in Detroit was making the rough equivalent of $100,000, in wages and benefits.
They never changed the outcome of an election, so we don’t model them.) We simulated a Nov. 8 election 10 million times using our state-by-state averages. In 9.8 million simulations, Hillary Clinton ended up with at least 270 electoral votes. Therefore, we say Clinton has a 98.0 percent chance of becoming president. Frequency of electoral.