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FiveThirtyEight's 2022 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl.
The 5 Most Exciting Super Bowls Ever. By Elena Mejia, Maya Sweedler and Jay Boice. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics...
How Our NFL Predictions Work. FiveThirtyEight has an admitted fondness for the Elo rating — a simple system that judges teams or players based on head-to-head results — and we’ve used it to ...
2021 NFL Predictions. By Jay Boice, Neil Paine and Nate Silver. Filed under NFL. Next >. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about...
The Best NFL Receivers, According to ESPN Analytics. These ratings, updated weekly, use player-tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats to evaluate every route a pass catcher runs and scores his...
Can you outsmart our NFL picks? FiveThirtyEight forecasts every game using an Elo-based model. See if you can do better.
Launched. March 7, 2008; 16 years ago (2008-03-07) [1] Current status. Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [2] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his ...
FiveThirtyEight calculated game-by-game Elo ratings for every team in NFL history, over 30,000 ratings in total. See how your favorite team stacks up.
PFN’s Playoff Predictor includes a proprietary, state-of-the-art algorithm will simulate and predict the outcomes of the games you have not already selected. From there, you can see the projected playoff field and can manipulate any of the game results to see how it changes the NFL playoff picture.
The NFL is back, and so are FiveThirtyEight’s weekly Slack chats. Regular readers will see some familiar faces and some unfamiliar ones. (Hello! Excited to be here.) Josh and Neil are back,...