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Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided ). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.
This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Mexico ...
ABC News/The Washington Post polls are ranked second in FiveThirtyEight’s list of best pollsters after the New York Times/Siena College, which has yet to release a national survey on a Harris vs ...
Meanwhile, only a fifth said the same about Biden. A poll released Thursday from The New York Times and Siena College, which FiveThirtyEight ranked as the most trustworthy pollster, gave Trump a 1 ...
A Virginia poll published Tuesday found Trump in the lead by 3 points as well. Ron Klain, former White House chief of staff for the Biden administration, touted the 538 model’s update in a post ...
In the leadup to Biden's withdrawal, 538 was the only professional election forecaster to give Biden majority odds of winning the 2024 election. [93] Silver has criticized Morris's model, describing it as at best ignoring the polls and giving Biden positive odds merely due to his incumbency, and at worst as being "buggy". [93] [94]
The polling average curated by ABC’s 538, which was last updated on Aug. 18, shows Harris with a 2.6 point lead against Trump, 46.4% to 43.8%. Silver Bulletin, the independent site of former 538 ...
The U.S. Supreme Court unanimously ruled that efforts by the state of Colorado along with Maine to remove former President Donald Trump from the ballot per the Fourteenth Amendment of the United States Constitution were unconstitutional. North Dakota caucus held. March 1–3, 2024. District of Columbia primary held.