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  2. Probability axioms - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_axioms

    Probability theory. The standard probability axioms are the foundations of probability theory introduced by Russian mathematician Andrey Kolmogorov in 1933. [ 1] These axioms remain central and have direct contributions to mathematics, the physical sciences, and real-world probability cases. [ 2]

  3. Bayes' theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem

    Bayes' theorem (alternatively Bayes' law or Bayes' rule, after Thomas Bayes) gives a mathematical rule for inverting conditional probabilities, allowing us to find the probability of a cause given its effect. [ 1] For example, if the risk of developing health problems is known to increase with age, Bayes' theorem allows the risk to an ...

  4. Law of total probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_total_probability

    Probability theory. In probability theory, the law (or formula) of total probability is a fundamental rule relating marginal probabilities to conditional probabilities. It expresses the total probability of an outcome which can be realized via several distinct events, hence the name.

  5. Law of total expectation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_total_expectation

    The proposition in probability theory known as the law of total expectation, [ 1] the law of iterated expectations[ 2] ( LIE ), Adam's law, [ 3] the tower rule, [ 4] and the smoothing theorem, [ 5] among other names, states that if is a random variable whose expected value is defined, and is any random variable on the same probability space, then.

  6. Chebyshev's inequality - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chebyshev's_inequality

    The rule is often called Chebyshev's theorem, about the range of standard deviations around the mean, in statistics. The inequality has great utility because it can be applied to any probability distribution in which the mean and variance are defined. For example, it can be used to prove the weak law of large numbers.

  7. Bayesian inference - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_inference

    Mathematics portal. v. t. e. Bayesian inference ( / ˈbeɪziən / BAY-zee-ən or / ˈbeɪʒən / BAY-zhən) [ 1] is a method of statistical inference in which Bayes' theorem is used to update the probability for a hypothesis as more evidence or information becomes available. Fundamentally, Bayesian inference uses prior knowledge, in the form of ...

  8. Independence (probability theory) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independence_(probability...

    Independence is a fundamental notion in probability theory, as in statistics and the theory of stochastic processes.Two events are independent, statistically independent, or stochastically independent [1] if, informally speaking, the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of occurrence of the other or, equivalently, does not affect the odds.

  9. Law of large numbers - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_large_numbers

    The law of large numbers provides an expectation of an unknown distribution from a realization of the sequence, but also any feature of the probability distribution.[1] By applying Borel's law of large numbers, one could easily obtain the probability mass function.