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  2. Yield curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yield_curve

    10 year minus 2 year treasury yield. In finance, the yield curve is a graph which depicts how the yields on debt instruments – such as bonds – vary as a function of their years remaining to maturity. [1] [2] Typically, the graph's horizontal or x-axis is a time line of months or years remaining to maturity, with the shortest maturity on the ...

  3. TED spread - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TED_spread

    TED spread. TED spread (in red) and components during the financial crisis of 2007–08. TED spread (in green), 1986 to 2015. The TED spread is the difference between the interest rates on interbank loans and on short-term U.S. government debt ("T-bills"). TED is an acronym formed from T-Bill and ED, the ticker symbol for the Eurodollar futures ...

  4. United States Treasury security - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Treasury...

    United States Treasury securities, also called Treasuries or Treasurys, are government debt instruments issued by the United States Department of the Treasury to finance government spending, in addition to taxation. Since 2012, the U.S. government debt has been managed by the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, succeeding the Bureau of the Public Debt .

  5. Professor behind recession indicator with a perfect track ...

    www.aol.com/finance/professor-behind-recession...

    The inverted yield curve indicator, which occurs when the yield on three-month Treasury bills exceeds the yield on 10-year notes, is a perfect 8-for-8 in preceding every recession since World War II.

  6. What are Treasury bills? - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/treasury-bills-204207419.html

    Treasury bills are short-term investments backed by the U.S. Treasury, making them a safe place to hold your cash and earn a modest interest rate. These investments are typically for one year or ...

  7. Inverted yield curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_yield_curve

    To determine whether the yield curve is inverted, it is a common practice to compare the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond to either a 2-year Treasury note or a 3-month Treasury bill. If the 10-year yield is less than the 2-year or 3-month yield, the curve is inverted.

  8. A reliable indicator says the next recession might be 3 years ...

    www.aol.com/finance/reliable-indicator-says-next...

    The chart of the day. ... The 10-year Treasury yield minus the 3-month Treasury bill yield is seen as the most ... the 10-year yield falls below the 3-month yield — it implies that economic ...

  9. Federal funds rate - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_funds_rate

    Federal funds rate vs unemployment rate. In the United States, the federal funds rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions (banks and credit unions) lend reserve balances to other depository institutions overnight on an uncollateralized basis. Reserve balances are amounts held at the Federal Reserve.