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This national electoral calendar for 2024 lists the national/federal elections held, and scheduled to be held, in 2024 in all sovereign states and their dependent territories. By-elections are excluded, though national referendums are included.
In addition to the historic electoral vote split in Maine, this marked the first time that such a split occurred after Maine began awarding electoral votes based on congressional districts in 1972. This was also the second time that a state split its Electoral College vote by congressional district since Nebraska in 2008 .
Electoral-vote.com [41] Solid D Washington Post [42] Solid D Politico [43] Safe D RealClearPolitics [44] Solid D FiveThirtyEight [42] Solid D CQ Politics [45] Safe D The New York Times [46] Solid D CNN [47] Lean D NPR [42] Solid D MSNBC [42] Safe D Fox News [48] Likely D Associated Press [49] Likely D Rasmussen Reports [50] Safe D
Michigan had 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College. [4] In 2016, Trump became the first Republican to carry Michigan since 1988, when George H. W. Bush had scored a decisive nationwide win against Michael Dukakis. [5] Throughout the campaign, Biden touted his work on the auto bailout in manufacturing towns outside Detroit.
November 8, 2016 Rothenberg Political Report [35] Tossup November 7, 2016 Sabato's Crystal Ball [36] Lean R (flip) November 7, 2016 NBC [37] Tossup November 7, 2016 Electoral-vote.com [38] Lean R (flip) November 8, 2016 RealClearPolitics [39] Tossup November 7, 2016 Fox News [40] Lean R (flip) November 7, 2016 ABC [41] Lean R (flip) November 7 ...
Except for losing one poll in August 2015, and tying with Trump in a poll in September 2015, Clinton won every pre-election poll with margins between 4 and 12 points until November 2016. In late October 2016, Clinton's lead narrowed significantly towards the election. Trump also won the last poll conducted on election day 49% to 47%. [30]
However, Trump was able to improve significantly upon his 2016 margins in many of New Jersey's most heavily populated cities, which kept the statewide margin within 2% of the 2016 results. For example, in New Jersey's most populated city , Newark , Trump nearly doubled his 2016 share of the vote, going from 6.63% to 12.25% of the vote. [ 59 ]
Minnesota has ten electoral votes in the Electoral College. [4] Prior to the election, 15 out of 16 news organizations predicting the election projected Minnesota as leaning towards Biden. Biden ultimately carried the state by a 7.12% margin, significantly improving over Hillary Clinton's narrow 1.52% margin in 2016.