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An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
National: Trump vs. Harris. Susquehanna. Harris 49, Trump 44. Harris +5. 2024 National Multi-Candidate. Economist/YouGov. Harris 49, Trump 46, Kennedy, Stein 1, Oliver, West 0. Harris +3....
In 2020, polls overestimated Joe Biden’s margin over Donald Trump by about 4.5 points on average. If polls underestimate Harris by the same amount, she will win all of the states 538...
This chart shows how the polling margin has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump.
2024 Presidential Election Polls. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head.
Updated October 2, 2024. By Lenny Bronner, Diane Napolitano, Kati Perry and Luis Melgar. What’s changed: Vice President Kamala Harris still leads by two points nationally and her leads in the...
As well as an average of the polls, you can also see historic polling data for Mr Biden and Mr Trump, more recent polling since Ms Harris entered the contest, and key dates in the race and ...
The latest national results on the general-election matchup of Vice President Kamala Harris and Donald Trump reflect surveys conducted Sept. 27-29, 2024, among 11,381 likely U.S. voters, with an...
Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president.
Rasmussen Reports. 49.0%. Trump. 47.0%. Harris. +2 Trump. + More Polls. The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's ...